Arsenal – Napoli – 11 April 2019

Hard to see Arsenal lose this game at home

Arsenal is expected to continue its good form at home, but we need to balance the bet a little bit, should Napoli find the form and make a draw.

Arsenal DNB (draw no bet)
1.68 at NairaBET

11 April, 20:00
Sport: Football
Country: England and Italy
League: Champions League 
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Arsenal is a completely different team at home compared to away. Has 14-2-1 in the Premier League, where the only loss came against Man City. Won against Spurs, Chelsea and Man United at Emirates in the league. Has done pretty much the same at home even in the Europa League, which, however, is not as impressive in the same way when the opposition was clearly worse than Napoli.

Compared to the weekend’s weak league match against Everton, the squad situation looks even better. Koscielny, Xhaka, and Torreira might be back on the pitch. If that happens that will be a clear plus. There are also alternatives and choices to be made on the offensive midfield position (Ramsey or Ozil) and the forward position (Lacazette or Aubameyang). A big advantage is that Emery has players who can change the match flow available on the bench, as this has often been a success factor this year.

Possible eleven:
Mustafi, Koscielny, Sokratis
Maitland-Niles, Xhaka, Torreira, Kolasinac
Iwobi, Ramsey


Napoli has a bit confusing form. The loss against Empoli was followed up by a draw against Bologna this Sunday (despite one man more on the pitch for one hour). Has ended up in a no man’s land in the league as it is too far up to Juventus and down to Inter, Milan, Atalanta, Roma and Lazio. So every league match is really that important at the moment. Hence, only the Europa League left to play for.

Napoli has also been struck with injuries to key players like Insigne (however back for this game). Therefore, it is difficult to know where we have Napoli today form-wise. They did impress in the Champions League group stage where they did not win away against Liverpool and PSG – but played really well.

Ancelotti is a tactically skilled manager who will probably prioritize going from Emirates with an okay result. Is probably okay with a cross and cries not enough rivers over a dropout as long as they make goals themselves.

Possible team:
Malcuit, Maksimovic, Koulibaly, Rui
Callejon, Allan, Ruiz, Zielinski
Insigne, Mertens


We have often been critical of Arsenal in recent seasons. However, we cannot deny that they are strong and hard to beat at home, even when facing tough opponents. The only teams that beat Gunner’s last year at home were Man City, Man United (FA Cup), Spurs (League Cup) and Östersund (in an EL return where Arsenal already settled).

Hard to see a home-grown Arsenal lose here. Even if the odds are not great on DNB, money back on the draw feels like a good bet.

DNB or Draw No Bet means that you get your money back if there is no winner in the game. Hence, you will win if Arsenal wins, get your money back on a draw and lose if Napoli wins.

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Ajax – Juventus – 10 April 2019

Both teams will score is our bet in this Champion League game on Wednesday 10 of April 2019.

Very interesting match to wait. And difficult:

  • Ronaldos being or not being a heavy factor (playing well, but is he 100?).
  • How does Ajax see the match – full speed ahead as against Real Madrid?
  • Juventus approach? Careful and defensive or aggressive and goal-oriented?
  • It is the CL quarter-finals with everything it entails. A held zero is after all quite good for both teams.

Earlier during the week, we were thinking under 2.5 goals, but the question marks above make us uncertain. Ronaldo has appeared more than once with a hat trick. Then it is not possible to get away from the fact that Dutch teams tend to defend itself weakly at times.

Historically, Ajax has scored in 19 of the last 20 home games in this tournament. In the CL context this season, they have scored goals in all matches except for AEK Athens and at home against Benfica. Against PSV, the only domestic team with quality similar to the other Champions League teams have Ajax let in goals in both games.

What we feel most confident about in terms of match image is that Ajax will try to take the command with its fine offensive.

  • Attack trio Tadic, Ziyech and Neres are sharp and good for real.
  • Attacks with the entire team with offensive outsides. There is a home team advantage helping the team producing a good result in 90 plus additions here. Has scored goals in all CL matches this season. The Italians have also released some goals in the league lately.
  • Juventus is usually quite comfortable with letting the opponent have a ball.
  • Allegri is a pragmatic coach who is supposed to be quite okay with such a match picture.
  • Whether Ronaldo comes into play or not, there are offensive weapons in the team: Mandzukic, Dybala, Bernardeschi, Pjanic and others. should be able to hurt the Dutch.
  • Juventus created a lot of opportunities against Atlético Madrid.

After all, rarely go without goals and have the ability to be clinical when opportunities are given in such matches.

Possible teams:
Onana; Tagliafico, Blind, De Ligt, Veltman; De Jong, Van de Beek, Schöne; Neres, Tadić, Ziyech

Szczęsny; The Sciglio, Bonucci, Rugani, Alex Sandro; Betancur, Pjanić, Matuidi; Bernardeschi; Mandžukić, Ronaldo

We think Ajax will take command and that their speedy offensive should suffice for a goal here. At the same time, it is never possible to ignore Juventus in such situations. We can see a match where Ajax gets a lot of chances and takes the lead but where Juventus via an individual achievement acknowledges 1-1 and then rides it out at home.